Academy Awards - Your Oscar Predictions [Updated with Results]

by: Avila

Sun Feb 24, 2013 at 18:09:24 PM EST



Finally! I wait every year, not patiently, for the Academy Awards, and this is The Big Night.  

Do you love movies as much as I do?  I have only seen a couple of the movies nominated, but it's fun to watch the celebs on the red carpet (their hairdos and even more, the hair-don'ts), the jewelry and pero Dios mio, the dresses!) who can resist the glamour, the decadence, and so much Shiny Stuff only once a year?  Not me.

My aunt and I like to watch together.  Our big activity in the winter months to see all the movies before the awards, but not this year. Yes, since you asked, we do make a big production of it, and wear our best dresses to eat appetizers and get blasted drinking a pitcher of Oscar's Big Night (recipe below).  This year, we can't be together.  My husband's taste in movies trends toward car chases or paranormal activities . . so I'm hoping there are some Meese who like movies?

Avila :: Academy Awards - Your Oscar Predictions [Updated with Results]
Seth McFarlane (best known for an animated series on dysfunctional families (Family Guy is allegedly a postmodern Simpsons with some South Park flavor in the mix) is the host of this year's awards. I'm not a fan but he was pret-ty hilarious on Jimmy Fallon's show, in a Puppy Predictions skit.  (Okay, you got me. Jimmy as a host would have been amazing.) Without further adieu, here are our nominees.

Best Picture

  • Amour
  • Argo: WINNER!
  • Beasts of the Southern Wild
  • Django Unchained
  • Les Misérables
  • Life of Pi
  • Lincoln
  • Silver Linings Playbook
  • Zero Dark Thirty

    Who will win?

    Lincoln is the odds-on favorite, but I think Argo could be The Little Movie That Can.

    Who will win?
    I've only seen three (Argo, Beasts of the Southern Wild, Silver Linings Playbook.  I don't have a particular favorite in this category . . . and since it's always the last award at the finale of 3+ hours of TV, I'll be tipsy if I'm awake.

    Best Actor in a Leading Role

  • Bradley Cooper (Silver Linings Playbook)
  • Daniel Day-Lewis: WINNER! (Lincoln)
  • Hugh Jackman  (Les Misérables )
  • Joaquin Phoenix (The Master)
  • Denzel Washington (Flight)

    Who will win?
    Daniel Day-Lewis.

    Who should win?
    Can I just say Denzel Washington was pitch-frickin' perfect in Flight?  What could have been a so-so couple of hours was an amazing roller coaster ride as Denzil crash-lands a commercial 737, becomes an instant hero, is stalked by the media, and cannot escape his inner demons and self-loathing, no matter how he tries.

    Best Actress in a Leading Role

  • Jessica Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty)
  • Jennifer Lawrence: WINNER! (Silver Linings Playbook)
  • Emmanuelle Riva (Amour)
  • Quvenzhané Wallis (Beasts of the Southern Wild)
  • Naomi Watts (The Impossible)

    Who will win?
    This one's a toss-up between Naomi Watts and Jennifer Lawrence.

    Who should win?
    If I admitted being a betting woman, my money's on Jennifer Lawrence.

    Quvenzhané Wallis is the most adorable, irrepressible six-year-old sprite of all time, and I really liked Beasts the first time I watched it.  

    Later on, it occurred to me that this is a film with some rather obvious stereotypes about poor black folks in Louisiana. An old theme in the history of literature, the tragic mulatto in this movie is a young child.

    Actually, she's Hushpuppy to me, and yeah, she is The Man). Very bright future, if Hollywood can resist exploiting this precious, talented little sweetheart's age and color.




    Best Actor in a Supporting Role

  • Alan Arkin (Argo)
  • Robert De Niro (Silver Linings Playbook)
  • Philip Seymour Hoffman (The Master)
  • Tommy Lee Jones (Lincoln)
  • Christoph Waltz: WINNER! 2 shots  (Django Unchained

    Who will win?
    Alan Arkin.

    Who should win?
    Alan Arkin.  The Ben Affleck snub still stings.

    Best Actress in a Supporting Role

  • Amy Adams (The Master)
  • Sally Field (Lincoln)
  • Anne Hathaway: WINNER (Les Misérables)
  • Helen Hunt (The Sessions)
  • Jacki Weaver (Silver Linings Playbook)

    Who will win?
    I haven't seen any of these.

    Who should win?
    What do you think?

    WHEN: 7 p.m. Eastern time.
    WHERE: ABC

  • Poll
    Best Picture
    Amour
    Argo
    Beasts of the Southern Wild
    Django Unchained
    Les Misérables
    Life of Pi
    Lincoln
    Silver Linings Playbook
    Zero Dark Thirty

    Results

    Tags: , , , (All Tags)
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    no award for Q. Tarantino (2.00 / 7)
    unless he wants to hang out in my neighborhood and drop his favorite racist slur, and that will never happen.

    Twitter Doesn't Make You Martin Luther King


    Oscar's Big Night (2.00 / 7)
    Ingredients:

       6 strawberries, hulled
       2 tbsp. grenadine
       2 tbsp. half-and-half
       light cream
       ginger ale
       ground ginger to taste

    Blend strawberries, half and half, and grenadine in a blender until smooth. Pour into a double old fashioned or highball glass.

    Option: Put the mix in the freezer, or through an ice shave machine.

    Add ginger ale and stir gently. Add ice to glass.

    Another Option: Sprinkle with ground ginger.

    Best Option: Add 1 1/2 oz rum.

    Cheers!

    Twitter Doesn't Make You Martin Luther King


    Anything with ginger has to be the greatest! But, then, (2.00 / 3)
    anything with rum...............

    [ Parent ]
    Am I the only Moose who hasn't seen any of the movies? (2.00 / 6)
    Wanted to go see Lincoln and Life of Pi but never did.

    Since I don't have cable I'll probably toss in one of the LOTR trilogy and/or take a nap and/or go to the grocery store (I need to go to the grocery store).

    "When Fascism comes to America, it will come wrapped in teh stupid and waving a gun" ~ Esteev on Wonkette


    I haven't seen a single one. (2.00 / 5)
    But I went and skewed the poll anyway (I voted for Lincoln). ;-)

    There are, in every age, new errors to be rectified, and new prejudices to be opposed. ~Samuel Johnson (1709-1784)

    [ Parent ]
    thank you, silks (2.00 / 4)
    awesome.  it feels weird to be on my own this year.

    did you vote for Lincoln 'cuz of the subject, the actors . . . .?

    Twitter Doesn't Make You Martin Luther King


    [ Parent ]
    Because of the subject, and... (2.00 / 5)
    ...because I like Sally Field, I really like her. ;-)

    There are, in every age, new errors to be rectified, and new prejudices to be opposed. ~Samuel Johnson (1709-1784)

    [ Parent ]
    you really, really (2.00 / 4)
    like her . . . hahahaha!! excellent.  the subject is very interesting, too.  i'm not a big Daniel Day Lewis fan, but he has many. ;)

    Twitter Doesn't Make You Martin Luther King


    [ Parent ]
    I am also not a fan of his. I get bored watching him. (2.00 / 5)


    [ Parent ]
    he is just too Method-y for me (2.00 / 4)
    it's very serious, very art for art's sake.  he isn't exactly a riveting personality.  

    Twitter Doesn't Make You Martin Luther King


    [ Parent ]
    HappyinVT, no you aren't (2.00 / 5)
    i've only seen a couple, and some of these "best pitchers," i wouldn't want to see.  the best movies i saw are too low-brow to be considered.  it's just kind of fun to people-watch the Rich and Shameless when they get together once a year. ;)



    Twitter Doesn't Make You Martin Luther King


    [ Parent ]
    Well, am not that interested in watching the Oscars but that (2.00 / 5)
    could be because I don't do tee vee. Love the movies, though, and am very curious who will win. . This year I didn't see many of the favorites. Really like No for best foreign film and like Beasts for best American. Thought Beasts was imaginative and beautifully filmed. Also liked the idea of the multi racial outsider group. Did get bored a bit in Lincoln. I looked at my watch a few times. Found Zero riveting but not sure that it was the best of the best. It was fun and I am a sucker for anything that begins with 9/11, and event  that so  marked my(and everyone else's) world view. As for Amour, love Riva but heard the movie was really depressing so I gave it a miss.

    [ Parent ]
    Portland, you're way ahead of me (2.00 / 5)
    i loved Beasts until i read a piece at Angry Black Woman (i think) that challenged that.  it was beautifully filmed, and probably the closest thing to "magic" i've ever seen on film.

    Zero, i'll watch on DVD.  Jessica Chastain is always good, and the subject is one i think we all have immense interest in.

    Argo has been nitpicked by everyone from former President Jimmy Carter to Maureen Dowd and on to the movie-going public, but i think Ben Affleck is very talented, maybe even brilliant, and this was innovative and suspenseful and sometimes hilarious.

    Twitter Doesn't Make You Martin Luther King


    [ Parent ]
    Well, if Maureen Dowd hates Argo then I will (2.00 / 3)
    have to go and cheer it! Am very surprised about the review of Beasts. Will have to go check it out. Loved Chastain in Tree of Life, another magical movie, IMO

    [ Parent ]
    Life of Pi (2.00 / 4)
    i really struggled with the book.  too meta for me.

    but i expect it to win big in every special effects category.

    Twitter Doesn't Make You Martin Luther King


    a better poll question (2.00 / 4)
    would have been: Why Do You Choose Movies?

    i haven't really thought about that too much.  my feeling is that anyone can tell a sad story, but anyone who can make me laugh is a treasure.

    Twitter Doesn't Make You Martin Luther King


    Yes, it's like the old joke. (2.00 / 4)
    "Dying is easy. Comedy's hard." ;-)

    There are, in every age, new errors to be rectified, and new prejudices to be opposed. ~Samuel Johnson (1709-1784)

    [ Parent ]
    exactly (2.00 / 3)
    i've considered twitter-stalking Jimmy Fallon, when my husband's at work. ;)

    Twitter Doesn't Make You Martin Luther King


    [ Parent ]
    LOL (2.00 / 3)
    I've always thought he's so cute, in addition to being funny. There's a mischevious boyish quality about him that reminds me of Bart Simpson, but with better hair. ;-)

    There are, in every age, new errors to be rectified, and new prejudices to be opposed. ~Samuel Johnson (1709-1784)

    [ Parent ]
    he's adorable (2.00 / 3)
    soooo dreamy.  sometimes i DVR his show for a week or more so i can watch in peace, without any spousal complaints.  one of the first things after we were married - incredible - no movies with Richard Gere.  this is why we can't have nice things.  jealousy. ;)

    Twitter Doesn't Make You Martin Luther King


    [ Parent ]
    Heh. (2.00 / 3)
    I remember how I regretted taking a boyfriend with me to a work function, because for weeks afterwards he wouldn't stop going on and ON about my excessively handsome co-worker. Grrrr! ;-)

    There are, in every age, new errors to be rectified, and new prejudices to be opposed. ~Samuel Johnson (1709-1784)

    [ Parent ]
    it shouldn't be funny (2.00 / 3)
    i know, but it just is! LOL.

    Twitter Doesn't Make You Martin Luther King


    [ Parent ]
    It's easy to laugh now. (2.00 / 3)
    At the time, not so much, hehe. ;-)

    There are, in every age, new errors to be rectified, and new prejudices to be opposed. ~Samuel Johnson (1709-1784)

    [ Parent ]
    I love movies. See them as a real art form. Love (2.00 / 4)
    going to them, sitting in a darkened theater filled with strangers watching a work of art.  

    [ Parent ]
    dresses so far (2.00 / 3)
    Reese Witherspoon in that heavenly midnight blue . . .  

    Twitter Doesn't Make You Martin Luther King


    Robin Roberts (2.00 / 4)
    is the big winner of the night . . . i haven't seen her since her bone marrow transplant, and am so happy she is there!

    Twitter Doesn't Make You Martin Luther King


    Adele - oh my (2.00 / 3)
    she looks amazing! can't wait for her performance.

    we have at least two, so we can have our Oscars dinner whenever. ;)

    Twitter Doesn't Make You Martin Luther King


    drink, anyone? (2.00 / 3)
    i think a little somethin' might help take the edge off MC Seth.

    Twitter Doesn't Make You Martin Luther King


    and the best supporting actor is . . . (2.00 / 3)
    Christoph Waltz (Django Unchained). derk.  this may require more than a little rum.

    Twitter Doesn't Make You Martin Luther King


    soooo disappointing (2.00 / 4)
    i don't know how Sethy ruined the Oscars, but this is not exactly what i had in mind on the other 364 days of the year.

    Twitter Doesn't Make You Martin Luther King


    I stopped watching during that awful production (2.00 / 5)
    number.  I do want to see the gorgeous Daniel Day Lewis pick up his award, but otherwise it's the Walking Dead for me. Has anything good happened?

    The power of the people is greater than the people in power - Bono

    sadly, no (2.00 / 5)
    nothing interesting or good has happened.  very disappointing.

    you know how you feel when you've made plans to do something special, and things just go wrong?  i mean, this is like those blasted LobsterGrams (one of Oprah's Favorite Things), and our Christmas dinner year before last.  i don't even eat lobster, but my family loves it so i saved my couch change and wanted them to have a really nice dinner.

    well, i have to say, that was a kitchen catastrophe.  no directions. no picture.  nada.  i didn't mean to incinerate the doggone things.  really, i didn't.  but it was slim pickins on Christmas that year, and i'll never live it down.

    HAPPY HOLIDAYS!!  MOM MADE US FISHY-TASTING ASHES!! ;)

    Twitter Doesn't Make You Martin Luther King


    [ Parent ]
    lololol (2.00 / 5)
    that's sadly hilarious

    The power of the people is greater than the people in power - Bono

    [ Parent ]
    i wept for days (2.00 / 5)
    they were sooooo expensive, and i destroyed them completely.

    Twitter Doesn't Make You Martin Luther King


    [ Parent ]
    I'm sorry! They really should include (2.00 / 4)
    directions -- knowing this has to be a rare treat for people

    The power of the people is greater than the people in power - Bono

    [ Parent ]
    kidding . . . i was kidding (2.00 / 3)
    too furious over losing six LobsterGrams ($70 each plus shipping) for tears.  

    i called their service number and got a refund.  so we had two holiday dinners, and one (with none of Oprah's Favorite Things) was actually edible. ;)

    Twitter Doesn't Make You Martin Luther King


    [ Parent ]
    update @ 10:35 p.m. (2.00 / 4)
    Best Supporting Actor - Christoph Waltz, "Django Unchained"
    Best Animated Short Film - "Paperman"
    Best Animated Feature Film - "Brave"
    Best Cinematography - "Life of Pi"
    Best Visual Effects - "Life of Pi"
    Best Costume Design - "Anna Karenina"
    Best Makeup and Hairstyling - "Les Miserables"
    Best Live Action Short - "Curfew"
    Best Documentary Short - "Inocente"
    Best Documentary Feature - "Searching for Sugar Man"
    Best Foreign Language Film - "Amour"
    Best Sound Mixing - "Les Miserables"

    Twitter Doesn't Make You Martin Luther King


    so no wins yet that I care about (2.00 / 5)
    none of those are on my "want to see" list (unlike Argo & Lincoln)

    The power of the people is greater than the people in power - Bono

    [ Parent ]
    hilarious article from Salon (2.00 / 4)
    http://www.salon.com/2013/02/2...

    apparently everyone hates McFarlane -- what did he say about the 9 year old nominee???

    The power of the people is greater than the people in power - Bono


    spit take (2.00 / 4)
    ZOMG! that's great!

    MacFarlane also mocked George Clooney's propensity for younger women, describing 9-year-old Oscar-nominee Quvenzhane Wallis thusly: "To give you an idea of how young she is, it'll be 16 years until she's too old for Clooney."

    Huffington

    if he said something else, i didn't notice, but wouldn't be surprised.  

    Twitter Doesn't Make You Martin Luther King


    [ Parent ]
    are you on Twitter? (2.00 / 4)
    he is trending as #worsteverhost, #hating.on.Seth.MacFarlane and some others. funny stuff.

    Twitter Doesn't Make You Martin Luther King


    [ Parent ]
    YAY! best actress, we called it (2.00 / 2)
    Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook.

    Twitter Doesn't Make You Martin Luther King


    best picture - Argo (2.00 / 2)
    thank you all for keeping me company through this year's Oscars.

    Twitter Doesn't Make You Martin Luther King


    I enjoyed your liveblogging off and on... (2.00 / 2)
    ...before and after watching Poirot (which was a rerun, but a good one). I'm sure I got as much enjoyment as I would have from watching the Oscars™, but I have a question. Was Mr. MacFarlane really that bad? I'd have expected him to be somewhat funny, if not hilarious.

    Anyway, I've learned from this diary all else that I need to know about this year's show! ;-)

    There are, in every age, new errors to be rectified, and new prejudices to be opposed. ~Samuel Johnson (1709-1784)


    [ Parent ]
    well silky, count me as someone who hasn't seen (2.00 / 2)
    any of the movies either, since i have such a nice setup at home i don't go to the movies anymore. popcorn is better and cheaper at homemade.

    i generally like the Oscars especially when Billy Crystal was hosting but Mcfarlane, in a word, B R U T A L. they lost me in that opening sequence and i drifted to HBO , luckily there were a few episodes of Girls on that i hadn't seen.

    Mcfarlane is a lightweight and he trivialized the event, at least for this viewer. he'd be more at home hosting America's Funniest Videos.

    thanks for posting this diary Avila.

    time...it seems to move so slowly until that day, when it doesn't.


    Ya know, (2.00 / 2)
    ...after further thought this morning, I'm not as surprised as I was that people are dissing Mr. MacFarlane, because as much as I've enjoyed Family Guy over the years, there IS frequently something flat and juvenile about the show's humor, and often the jokes are dragged out far too long. I don't know if Mr. MacF was like that last night, but...

    And yes, Billy Crystal was a great host back in the day.

    There are, in every age, new errors to be rectified, and new prejudices to be opposed. ~Samuel Johnson (1709-1784)


    [ Parent ]
    couldn't agree more, silks (0.00 / 0)
    i didn't notice while watching, and it may have been backstage, but MacFarlane was said to be very open about his dislike of the actors and actresses.

    Twitter Doesn't Make You Martin Luther King


    [ Parent ]
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